- More people strongly disagree now compared to 25 years ago
- Lower net agreement scores among those who distrust China
SWS media releaseThe Fourth Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, done on December 16-19, 2018, found that 44% of Filipino adults disagree with the statement, “Most of what the Chinese government wants to happen in the Philippines is good for the Filipinos” [Chart 1].
On the other hand, only 27% agree with the statement, and 29% are undecided about the matter.
This gives a net agreement score of -17 (% agree minus % disagree), classified by SWS as moderately weak.
The 44% disagreement consists of 22% strongly disagree and 22% somewhat disagree, while the 27% agreement consists of 7% strongly agree and 19% somewhat agree, correctly rounded.
SWS terminology for net agreement: +50 and above, “extremely strong”; +30 to +49, “very strong”; +10 to +29, “moderately strong”; +9 to -9, “neutral”; -10 to -29, “moderately weak”; -30 to -49, “very weak”; -50 and below, “extremely weak”.
Gauging public opinion on the intentions of foreign governments for the Filipinos
SWS first implemented the survey question in July 1985 to gauge public opinion about the US government’s intention for the Filipino people. Up to 2005, the question was fielded 11 times nationwide during the Cory Aquino administration, 6 times during the Ramos administration, and 3 times during the Arroyo administration.
The July 1985 survey found a very strong +35 net agreement that most of what the US government wants to happen in the Philippines is good for the Filipinos. It rose to a record-high very strong +40 in May 1986, and declined to moderately strong to neutral levels from February 1989 to November 1990. It stayed moderately strong from July 1991 to August 2004, ranging from +16 to +24, before declining to neutral +8 in August 2005 [Chart 2].
In the September 1993 survey, SWS used the same test statement for the Japanese and Chinese governments.
The survey found moderately weak net agreement scores of -11 (26% agree, 37% disagree) and -28 (16% agree, 45% disagree, correctly rounded) for the Japanese and Chinese governments, respectively. These were much lower net agreement scores compared to the moderately strong +24 (46% agree, 22% disagree) for the American government [Chart 3].
Forthcoming SWS surveys will continue to monitor public sentiments on these matters.
More people strongly disagree now compared to 25 years ago
Compared to when last surveyed by SWS, net agreement that most of what the Chinese government wants to happen in the Philippines is good for the Filipinos eased by 11 points, from -28 in September 1993 to -17 in December 2018.
However, the proportion of those who strongly disagree rose by 17 points from 5% to 22%.
At the same time, those who somewhat disagree fell from 39% to 22%.
On the other hand, those who strongly agree went up from 1% to 7%, while those who somewhat agree went from 15% to 19%.
The proportion of those who were undecided fell from 35% to 29%.
Lower net agreement scores among those who distrust China
The December 2018 survey also measured public trust in China as a country. It found negative net agreement that most of what the Chinese government wants to happen in the Philippines is good for the Filipinos among those who distrust China.
The survey found a net agreement score of neutral +8 (39% agree, 31% disagree) among those with much trust in China, compared to the moderately weak -12 (23% agree, 35% disagree) among those who were undecided about their trust in China, and the very weak -40 (19% agree, 60% disagree, correctly rounded) among those with little trust in China [Chart 4].
The Fourth Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey findings on public trust in China and other selected countries were first presented at the 2019 SWS Survey Review on February 1, 2019. The fuller report was posted on March 20, 2019 (Fourth Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: Net trust “Very good” for the United States; “Good” for Japan and Australia; “Neutral” for China).
Net agreement “neutral” in the Visayas; “moderately weak” in Mindanao, Metro Manila, and Balance Luzon
Net agreement that most of what the Chinese government wants to happen in the Philippines is good for the Filipinos was relatively higher in the Visayas, at a neutral -1 (34% agree, 36% disagree, correctly rounded), compared to the moderately weak levels in Mindanao, at -19 (24% agree, 44% disagree, correctly rounded), Metro Manila, at -20 (28% agree, 48% disagree), and Balance Luzon, at -23 (24% agree, 46% disagree, correctly rounded) [Chart 5].
Survey background
The December 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from December 16-19, 2018 using face-to-face interviews of 1,440 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 360 each in Balance Luzon, Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±2.6% for national percentages, and ±5% each for Balance Luzon, Metro Manila, the Visayas, and Mindanao).
The area estimates were weighted by the Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates.
The Social Weather Survey question on people’s view of the Chinese government’s intention for the Filipinos was non-commissioned. It was included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service.
The exact question was: “Ngayon po, mayroon ako ritong mga statements o pangungusap na maaaring maglarawan sa nararamdaman o naiisip ng mga tao ngayon. Pakisabi po kung kayo ay sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon sa mga statements o pangungusap na ito. Pakilagay lang po ang kard na may pangungusap sa naaangkop na lugar sa rating board na ito. (Lubos na sumasang-ayon, Medyo sumasang-ayon, Hindi tiyak kung sumasang-ayon o hindi sumasang-ayon, Medyo hindi sumasang-ayon, o Lubos na hindi sumasang-ayon) [I have here some statements which may reflect how people feel or think about certain matters at present. Please tell me if you agree or disagree with these statements. You may indicate your answers by placing the card with the statement in the appropriate place on this rating board. (Strongly agree, Somewhat agree, Undecided if agree or disagree, Somewhat disagree, or Strongly disagree)]:”
Q164. “Karamihan sa mga nais mangyari ng gobyernong Tsina dito sa Pilipinas ay nakabubuti sa mga Pilipino [Most of what the Chinese government wants to happen in the Philippines is good for the Filipinos]”
On public trust in selected countries, the exact questions were: "Pag-usapan po natin ang tungkol sa ilang bansa. Sa mga sumusunod, maaari po bang sabihin ninyo kung ang pagtitiwala ninyo sa (bansa) ay Napakalaki, Medyo malaki, Hindi tiyak kung malaki o maliit, Medyo maliit, Napakaliit, o Wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol sa (bansa)? Pakisabi ang sagot ninyo sa pamamagitan ng paglagay ng mga kard sa naaangkop na lugar sa rating board na ito (SHUFFLE CARDS). [Let's now talk about some countries. For the following, please indicate if your trust/faith in (country) is Very much, Somewhat much, Undecided if much or little, Somewhat little, Very little, or You have not heard or read anything about the (country) ever? You may indicate your answers by placing each card on the appropriate box on this rating board (SHUFFLE CARDS).]"
Q125. United States of America or USA
Q126. China
Q127. Japan
Q128. Australia
SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo S. Laroza.
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Chart 4
Chart 5
https://www.sws.org.ph/swsmain/artcldisppage/?artcsyscode=ART-20190405180119
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