The failure of Congress to pass the Bangsamoro Basic Law
(BBL) under the Aquino administration has somehow eroded the confidence of the
Moro people in the peace process and could make the younger generation – who
may not even be associated with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) – be
more attracted to violent extremism, the Third Party Monitoring Team (TPMT) of
the Bangsamoro peace process said in its third public annual report.
But the TPMP report also said that “clear evidence of
progress in the peace process, and of continued commitment to building a real
autonomy, will offer the best possible safeguard against these risks, and the
most effective vaccination against violent extremism.”
The five-member TPMT was set up by the government (GPH) and
MILF peace panels following the October 2012 signing of the Framework Agreement
on the Bangsamoro (FAB), to monitor, review and assess the implementation of
all signed agreements.
In his opening statement at the press conference in Pasig
City Friday morning, MacDonald, former EU Ambassador to the Philippines, said
it is “encouraging” that there has been no violent reaction from the MILF to
the non-passage of the BBL unlike what in the aftermath of the botched signing
of the already initialed Memorandum of Agreement on Ancestral Domain (MOA-AD)
in August 2008 but it is possible that this setback “could increase the risk
that some young people could become more attracted to violent extremism – a
risk against which a successful conclusion to the peace process will be the
most effective.”
In a statement signed by MILF chair Al Haj Murad Ebrahim on
February 18 or 15 days after Congress adjourned without passing the BBL, the
MILF expressed “deep disappointment and grave dismay” over the non-passage of
the BBL but said it will “continue to uphold the peace process and ensure that
all the gains will be preserved.”
The 29-page TPMT report said that if doubts about the peace
process continue, it may be possible that “some among the younger generation –
not even persons associated with the MILF – may come to consider that the peace
process has failed, and risk being attracted to more radical ideologies and
violent extremism” and that a perception of failure “could act as fuel for
those who might be tempted in this direction or those who might wish to
encourage it.”
The report said the Philippines has not shown evidence of
the same degree of individual radicalization that has been seen in Indonesia,
Malaysia or in a number of Western countries but “certainly, clear evidence of
progress in the peace process, and of continued commitment to building a real
autonomy, will offer the best possible safeguard against these risks, and the
most effective vaccination against violent extremism.”
MacDonald reiterated the need for a “Plan B” to help the
next administration hit the ground running and to “work to sustain public
confidence in the peace process during this period of uncertainty, and to
reaffirm the commitment of all stakeholders to winning the prize of peace.”
It can be recalled that the TPMT, in a December 22, 2015
letter to the GPH and MILF peace panels expressed hope that the panels could
“reach agreement on a ‘Plan B’ (or perhaps a ‘Plan A to B,’ which would help
secure the transition from Plan A to Plan B)” given the concerns about the
delays in the legislative process and the increasing likelihood that no BBL
would be passed under the Aquino administration; concerns about the content of
the BBL and the extent to it might be CAB-compliant (Comprehensive Agreement on
the Bangsamoro), acceptable to the MILF and acceptable to the broader
Bangsamoro community;” and concerns about the continuity of the process, if
indeed a BBL cannot be passed under the Aquino administration.
MacDonald last Friday said the TPMT noticed “that very
little was said about the peace process at the recent Presidential debate, and
it could be helpful if the candidates were to tell the public how the process
might be carried forward to a successful conclusion.”
MacDonald expressed optimism that the prize of peace can be
attained, no matter which administration takes over on June 30 because “no
administration can afford to ignore the costs of conflict in Mindanao
– the human costs, the development costs, the security costs, or the risk of
worsening a climate conducive to the spread of violent extremism.”
“The CAB will necessarily remain the cornerstone of peace,”
MacDonald said, adding the best guarantee of success lies in the commitment of
both parties, “evident at the highest levels through this past year.”
The report acknowledged that 2015 was a “difficult year”
because the January 25 Mamasapano tragedy “cast a dark shadow over the peace
process throughout the year, impacted negatively on public and political
attitudes towards the process, and significiantly delayed (and colored)
Congressional deliberations on the draft BBL.”
Since Congress failed to pass the BBL, “the torch of peace
will have to be taken up by a new Administration and Congress” starting June
30, 2016.
The report noted that the substitute bills of the House of
Representatives and the Senate “were in a number of respects non-compliant with
the CAB,” an issue that the next Congress has to address.
But it also acknowledged that progress was made in the other
aspects of the peace process like the June 16, 2015 ceremonial decommissioning
of MILF weapons and combatants; the December 9 submission of the report of the
Transitional Justice and Reconciliation Commission (TJRC), other aspects of
normalization like preparing support for the decommissioned combatants and
their communities, strengthening the footprint of the Independent
Decommissioning Body (IDB) in its initial preparations ofr acting against
private armed groups.
It said the ceasefire mechanisms continued to work smoothly
“notwithstanding the fact that these mechanisms had been ignored and put at
risk in Mamasapano.”
It also cited efforts to build a “greater inclusivity”
continued “both between the MILF and the different groups within the MNLF, and
with many of the Sultanates” and the “significant upwelling of both domestic
and international support” for the peace process, such as the work done by the
Citizens’ Peace Council and other civil society efforts, including the statement
of resident Ambassadors in October.
http://www.mindanews.com/peace-process/2016/02/28/tpmt-says-vaccination-vs-violent-extremism-is-successful-conclusion-to-peace-process/
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