2014 is a crucial year as far as the success of the GPH-MILF peace negotiation is concerned. This is the year for the Government of the Philippines (GPH) and Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) to make hard and eventful decisions, which are political milestones in their talks that would ensure the establishment of the Bangsamoro Government in 2016. Failure to do so will make the future gloomy.
We have never been alarmist and will never be one. But dealing on the dark side of life when that is the real thing is not to alarm people. It is not really a negative attitude either. It is the good thing to do. Similarly, always thinking positive is negativist on the flip side. It can be as dangerous as when one thinks always negatively. Any over-stressing of either side is a negative attitude. Objectivism is always the right frame of mind that must be cultivated. Both sides of the equation are appreciated in their proper perspectives.
Within the first quarter of this year, the parties must sign the comprehensive peace agreement (CPA) to enable the Bangsamoro Transition Commission (BTC) to finish the final draft of the Bangsamoro Basic Law (BBL) for submission to President Benigno Aquino III, who will certify it as urgent bill, in order to give just enough space and time for Congress to pass it into law. This should not be later than May this year. By 2015 the atmosphere will change radically; the fever of the 2016 presidential election will begin to spread its divisive and paralyzing effects. Expect switching of party affiliations and heightened bickering among politicians. Even a non-partisan issue like the Bangsamoro Question and its early resolution will be affected. And third, the BBL should be ratified by the people in the Bangsamoro territory preferably towards the end of this year or early 2015 to make way for the establishment of the Bangsamoro Transition Authority (BTA).
The GPH-MILF peace talks will resume this month after the parties signed the Annex on Power-sharing, which is so far the most difficult of the four annexes. Still on the pipeline for discussion and settlement are: Bangsamoro Waters, Annex on Normalization, and finally the CPA. The CPA is not just a piece of paper; it contains principles, most likely on the following: how the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) is going to be abolished; the conduct of the plebiscite for the ratification of the BBL; and the manner of amending the Constitution, if necessary.
However, in spite of the still rough road ahead, we are still very hopeful and upbeat that the two parties will finally settle all the remaining issues in the negotiating table. Two sincere, willing, and committed partners, like the Aquino administration and the MILF, will always find ways to overcome any issue that stands on their way. This has been proved by them time and again.
http://www.luwaran.com/index.php/editorial/item/744-2014-crucial-year-in-peace-talks
Within the first quarter of this year, the parties must sign the comprehensive peace agreement (CPA) to enable the Bangsamoro Transition Commission (BTC) to finish the final draft of the Bangsamoro Basic Law (BBL) for submission to President Benigno Aquino III, who will certify it as urgent bill, in order to give just enough space and time for Congress to pass it into law. This should not be later than May this year. By 2015 the atmosphere will change radically; the fever of the 2016 presidential election will begin to spread its divisive and paralyzing effects. Expect switching of party affiliations and heightened bickering among politicians. Even a non-partisan issue like the Bangsamoro Question and its early resolution will be affected. And third, the BBL should be ratified by the people in the Bangsamoro territory preferably towards the end of this year or early 2015 to make way for the establishment of the Bangsamoro Transition Authority (BTA).
The GPH-MILF peace talks will resume this month after the parties signed the Annex on Power-sharing, which is so far the most difficult of the four annexes. Still on the pipeline for discussion and settlement are: Bangsamoro Waters, Annex on Normalization, and finally the CPA. The CPA is not just a piece of paper; it contains principles, most likely on the following: how the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) is going to be abolished; the conduct of the plebiscite for the ratification of the BBL; and the manner of amending the Constitution, if necessary.
However, in spite of the still rough road ahead, we are still very hopeful and upbeat that the two parties will finally settle all the remaining issues in the negotiating table. Two sincere, willing, and committed partners, like the Aquino administration and the MILF, will always find ways to overcome any issue that stands on their way. This has been proved by them time and again.
http://www.luwaran.com/index.php/editorial/item/744-2014-crucial-year-in-peace-talks
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