AFP chief Gen. Gregorio Pio Catapang Jr. visits Pagasa Island. (photo by Krisken Jones, InterAksyon.com)
Fewer than 48 kilometers away, China’s giant construction
cranes glint on the horizon, a sign of the Asian giant’s reef-building frenzy
in the disputed Spratly chain that has seen new islands appear seemingly
overnight.
As China and fellow rival claimant Vietnam race to pave over
reefs and build structures in the strategically important sea, the Philippines
stands out as a laggard.
The 356 residents of the remote Manila-held coral outcrop
they will soon be forced out by China 's
aggressive land grab, in a conflict fought, so far, with dredgers and cement.
"Before we landed we saw the reclamation in the
(nearby) Subi Reef and it's really enormous," Catapang said on a tour of
the island's largely decrepit facilities. An old navy transport ship lay
half-submerged in waters off the coast, with two anti-aircraft guns the only
visible defenses.
The Spratlys, an archipelago of more than a hundred islands,
reefs and atolls between Vietnam
and the Philippines ,
is one of the most hotly contested areas because of its strategic military
importance.
The United States
last week sounded the alarm, accusing China of building up to 800
hectares of artificial islands in the Spratlys, and warning it could construct
airfields, surveillance systems and harbors that would jeopardize regional
stability.
Alarmed at the Chinese activity, other Spratlys claimants
have not been idle. Vietnam
is reported to be reclaiming land in two areas, while Taiwan and Malaysia have announced plans to
improve their naval facilities.
The Philippines ,
which occupies nine islands or reefs in the chain, in contrast has done very
little - partly because of funding constraints, but also because it is pinning
its hopes on having the United Nations mediate the dispute.
'Without firing a shot'
Life is usually uneventful for the inhabitants of Pagasa,
the largest Philippine-occupied island which lies 433 kilometers from Palawan , and receives electricity just five hours a day.
They include soldiers, coastguard personnel and
military-employed civilians, many of whom bring their wives and children with
them to stave off loneliness.
But the Philippine army says that since last month Chinese
vessels off the Subi reef have warned Filipino air force planes flying in and
out of Pagasa to leave, saying they are violating its military airspace.
"This is bad for us who live here. We depend on the
planes to deliver our food," one concerned municipal employee, 37-year-old
Larry Jugo, told Agence France-Presse.
Rear Admiral Alexander Lopez, commander of the Western
Command, to which forces in the South China Sea
belong, said the action was effectively an enforcement of an undeclared air
defense identification zone.
"They build these things, they say for legal reasons,
but for military purposes as necessary. That's very alarming," he said.
Elsewhere in the Spratlys, Lopez said China has also
been harassing Filipino vessels supplying marines on Second Thomas Shoal. The
puny unit of nine men lives on a rusting navy ship that had been deliberately
grounded on a reef.
Authorities and regional analysts see it as a powerful
campaign aimed at making it impossible for the Philippines to hold on to its
claims.
"As far as I know, there is not much that the Philippines can
do," even if it wins its UN case, said Harry Sa, an American research
analyst for the Singapore-based S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies.
"I think China is doing something smart: It
is gaining territory without firing a single shot."
'We have nowhere to run'
Outgunned by China 's
military might, the Philippines ’
strongest card has been a suit to a United Nations tribunal, asking it to rule
that China 's
claims are illegal.
A verdict is expected next year, but Beijing has refused to participate and would
reject any finding against it.
Analysts say China is unlikely to deliberately fire at
Filipino vessels, wary the Philippines could ask the United States to retaliate
by invoking the 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty, and also reluctant to be seen as a
regional aggressor.
Nonetheless, the Philippines has sought to upgrade its
capabilities by acquiring two second-hand US patrol craft and ordering fighter
jets from South Korea that would allow it to maneuver more swiftly over the
contested waters.
But its efforts to draw in the United States , its closest ally and
former colonial ruler, have stumbled, mainly because a 2014 treaty to allow
American forces to use Filipino bases and build facilities is in legal limbo.
With the Philippines
becoming increasingly vulnerable, Pagasa islander Jugo plans to send his wife
and two children home to Palawan next year
just in case trouble erupts.
"We have nowhere to run ... we will be forced to fight
whatever happens," he said.
http://www.interaksyon.com/article/110465/focus--china-gains-territory-without-firing-a-single-shot---and-the-philippines-can-only-watch